I run a seminar in Finland at Microsoft Finland office 23rd of November for Microsoft ISVs about the transition to the cloud and what it means for software vendors overall. One of the key things in my messaging for ISVs is that they have to look at the cloud together with mobility going forward. This morning I run into an article in Information Management web-site where IDC predicts that mobility and cloud will surge in 2012.

It is easy to agree to this based on what we have seen in our work and research specifically in the US continent. IDC predictions are based on 1000 IDC analysts and according to this study, cloud spending will top $36 billion next year which is four-times the overall IT industry rate of growth.

Another interesting statement from IDC chief analyst Frank Gens is that there will be a “generational shift in the tech platform adoption and innovation” which could according to him lead to a worldwide IT spending of $5 trillion by 2020 and all of this based on mobile tech and the cloud.

Based on hundreds of discussions with independent software vendors (ISVs) around the world we have seen a clear shift in the urgency of many ISVs to ensure that they are on the right bandwagon concerning the cloud. My colleague, Juha Harkonen has been analyzing the trends for quite a while and the observations that he has made are very interesting. You might want to check some of his observations from his excellent blog.

 

 

 

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Now it is in the open. According to a recent article from Gigaom.com and research from Martin Wolf M&A Advisors, SaaS companies are getting much higher valuation when compared with legacy software vendors. The chart from Wolf M&A Advisors tells it all:

I knew we would get to this sooner or later as the move is definitely towards the cloud and ISVs that are resisting this move, will eventually run into issues if they do not re-architect their legacy solution as clients will require a true SaaS solution and not a solution that is “running in the cloud” but without really taking advantage of things such as scalability etc.

The Gigacom.com article concludes that it is not a surprise that enterprise vendors acquire smaller SaaS players such as the acquisition of RightNow Technologies by Oracle (1.5 billion). I work with ISVs around the world and I have seen many different types of organizations, some of them being start-ups and some making the transition from legacy business to SaaS business. One very popular way for traditional ISVs to make inroads to SaaS game is to build some type of an extension to the legacy solution to get experience what it is to build for the cloud and this also gives a more evolutionary way of creating something that can be sold to existing customers as add-on service.

I think each and every software executive should contemplate on the message from Gigaom and Martin Wolf especially if the company is in the game of getting sold in the future. The times of high license revenue with maintenance and support is gone and will be sooner or later replaced by monthly/quarterly recurring revenue where the software vendor has to create a solution that is not only used but loved by its users. Gone are the times where a software was sold that was both unfriendly to use but as the software vendor got its money, there was no incentive (other than getting the annual maintenance and support fee paid after first year) to ensure that the software was something that the buyer really liked. In the old-fashioned model, the company paid a large lump sum for the software and this was almost always a lock-in from the software vendor as the end user organization is always fully invested in the solution and is almost forced to pay the maintenance fee in the end. I do remember vividly when I was CEO for a business intelligence company when I was always worried whether our largest clients would pay the support/maintenance fee in the beginning of each year.

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Book review: Social engineering can expose your company secrets: case Kevin D. Mitnick

September 8, 2011

I love books and one of the books that I remember reading years ago was the book by Tsutomu Shimomura and John Markoff “Takedown: The  Pursuit and Capture of Kevin Mitnick, America’s Most Wanted Computer Outlaw-by the Man Who Did It”. This book came out in mid-90’s and as I was already then in software [...]

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A tale of “me too” kind of innovation: RIM to launch music service for BlackBerry

September 8, 2011

It is sad to read about Research in Motion (RIM) attempt to become hip again. I have been a client for RIM for the past few years for one reason: AT&T provides me with an unlimited data plan (worldwide) and that is hard to beat. I have not been able to switch to any other [...]

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Life at Apple after Steve Jobs?

August 24, 2011

I can’t believe how many announcements we are getting from the large IT players: First Google buying Motorola, then HP deciding to kill its HP TouchPad.  I just read news from Wall Street Journal that he is resigning as CEO of Apple and taking the role of Chairman of the Board if the board accepts [...]

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Cloud ISV: make sure you understand your ecosystem play – example of Intuit and Microsoft collaboration on software platforms to create a foundation for solution developers

August 19, 2011

I have written several times in my blogs about ecosystems and the role that ecosystems play. I recently run into an interesting article in the Redmond ChannelPartner with the header “Intuit Extends Cloud Pact with Microsoft”. As I am working with Microsoft ecosystem every single working day, I became interested what the article was all [...]

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It was a brutal day today for HP (Hewlett-Packard): it kills its tablet business (HP TouchPad) and is exiting PC business

August 18, 2011

Many of us is still pondering on the Google Motorola Mobility deal and today we (WSJ.com) heard that HP it’s quitting its PC business by a spinoff. At the same time, HP is shutting down its tablets and smartphone business so we can now say goodbye to HP TouchPad for good. Yesterday we could read [...]

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Did Google find out that open source does not pay out as expected?

August 15, 2011

Here we go again. The mobility world is changing with Motorola Mobility being acquired by Google for $12.5 billion. This was widely reported this morning when I woke up. Doug Barney from Redmondmag.com concludes that this move from Google might anger device manufacturers. My personal belief (that many other analysts support) is that Google woke [...]

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Cloud ISV: What technology will you be using when supporting different mobile and tablet devices?

August 1, 2011

I explained in my previous blog post that the cloud era is here to stay and with this new era, there are also quite a few technologies that the ISV has to select to build a solution. One key thing is to select the cloud platform but an increasingly important technology that the ISV has [...]

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Cloud ISV: Do not focus on building infrastructure, but focus on building value add for the end user

July 31, 2011

Software developers love to challenge themselves with things that make them feel good and the trickier the problem, the merrier it is to find the solution. In some cases, this could obviously be the killer innovation that nobody else has ever done, but if it is something that already exists and can be purchased from [...]

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